The Doherty Institute says its roadmap for opening normal Covid supports even if hundreds of cases are recorded – if that measure is taken.
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The Doherty Institute has stood by its modeling – which underpins the federal government’s Covid roadmap – after questions about its relevance were raised in the wake of rising infections across the country.
In a statement released on Monday evening, the Institute for Infection and Immunity said that once a vaccination coverage rate of 70 percent was reached, opening dozens or hundreds of cases nationwide each day would be “possible.”
“However, we will need vigilant public health interventions with higher case numbers,” the statement said.
“We have to maintain some public health measures – testing, tracing, isolation and quarantine – to keep the reproductive number below 1, but as vaccination rates increase, we will be able to continue to decline and we are unlikely to “Will need general bans.”
“It may appear that these ‘testing, tracing, isolating and quarantining’ measures are not working right now – in New South Wales or Victoria. But they are.”
The institute said there was “light at the end of the tunnel” as the country would see “less transmission of Covid and fewer people with serious illnesses” once a vaccination of 70 to 80 percent is achieved.
This estimate comes from the “modeling work completed to date”, with the modeling report last revised on August 10th.
“The team of modelers from across Australia, led by the Doherty Institute, are now working on implementation issues that are specific to the states and territories, certain populations, and high-risk environments.”
The modeling of the Doherty’s Institute was published on August 3rd and commissioned by the federal government.
POLICE VIOLATED RESTRICTIONS AFTER FUNERAL
Police are investigating whether a major funeral for a well-known Shepparton footballer a week before the Covid-19 outbreak in the city broke restrictions.
Adrian Meka’s funeral took place on August 11th, when services were limited to 50 mourners. All restrictions inside the venue are believed to have been respected, but it was asked if people were gathering outside.
“Although the number of people within the service is limited, we welcome everyone who comes to us from the outside and online,” read a social media post before the funeral.
Chief Commissioner Shane Patton confirmed he was aware of reports of a “grand funeral” and that health officials were “studying the numbers.”
But Prime Minister Daniel Andrews on Monday encouraged people not to “jump to conclusions”. “I don’t know that such events have occurred, I don’t know the circumstances, if they did,” he said.
Matt Sharp, CEO of Goulburn Valley Health, said there was nothing to suggest there was a link between the funeral and the Shepparton outbreak, which has grown to 36. Victorias reported 71 new infections on Monday, including 22 mysterious cases.
There are 29 cases in the hospital, including nine people in the intensive care unit. The infant among the 29 hospitalized children was in stable condition.
Ten of Monday’s new cases were related to the Newport cluster. Covid-19 commander Jeroen Weimar said cases related to the Newport football club are still popping up, including up to five infections along the transmission chain. He urged the men in the western suburbs to get tested.
“I mainly address younger men in the Newport, Altona and Altona Nord area. If you are active in the community, in your 20s and 30s, if you are affiliated with the football club or the gyms … please come up and get tested, ”he said. “We are really concerned about this continued emergence of cases in the Newport area.”
Almost a quarter of Victoria’s 494 active cases are children under 10 years old and another 100 are between 10 and 19 years old.
“We have examples of children who collapse and vomit at school, they are so sick,” said Weimar.
FURTHER JAB DATES ARE FORBIDDEN
Tens of thousands of vaccine appointments are to be made across Victoria this week as the largest community vaccination center opens in northwest Melbourne.
Prime Minister Daniel Andrews announced Monday that it has offered more than 50,000 AstraZeneca and Pfizer bookings.
He also encouraged anyone under the age of 40 receiving AstraZeneca to keep their appointments even though they were entitled to a Pfizer dose after August 30.
He said the number of canceled bookings or no-shows has doubled to more than 10,000 since Prime Minister Scott Morrison announced the change last week.
“People have to show up. You have an appointment, take advantage of it today because there is an actual recording in your arm today and it is far better than booking in a few weeks, ”he said.
It is a vaccination center in Broadmeadows City Hall, operated by DPV Health, and expanding to up to 22 vaccination booths.
DVP health chief Don Tidbury said the hub would benefit the Hume area – which has been badly hit by Covid for the past 18 months.
Fifty active cases have been linked to an outbreak at MyCentre Childcare in Broadmeadows, with two infections being related to the nearby Dallas Brooks Community Primary School.
The Broadmeadows Town Hall Hub will be open for seven days, initially from 9:30 a.m. to 5:30 p.m. with opening hours expected to expand in the coming weeks.
COMPANIES ‘HANGING BY A STRING’
The Eastern Indoor Sports Center is “hanging by a thread” and its frustrated owners say lockdowns have brought their business to a standstill.
Owners Julian and Trent Balthazaar said the Knoxfield sports and kids’ party venue typically raised about $ 10,000 over the weekend but suffered from the 200-day lockdown.
“Every time we gain a bit of momentum and think we’re ready to open, we have to close again,” said Julian Balthazaar.
Brother Trent said, “We had to cancel 24 parties in one weekend … we keep getting into debt.”
The indoor sports center urgently needs revenue to make up for last year’s losses.
“This is how we make a living, so being forced to close our doors and still raise money for rent and expenses is really tough,” said Julian.
“We’re grateful for any government support, but it’s like putting a band-aid on a larger wound.”
The brothers, who rent a large warehouse at high costs and cannot operate as a take-away like hospitality companies, said the blanket approach of helping businesses through lockdowns “doesn’t work”.
“We get the same grants as any other company … the support is not proportionate,” said Trent.
While determined to recover, the brothers know that the battle won’t end if the locks do.
“Restrictions kill us just like the locks … we are the last to open and we have to enforce capacity limits,” said Julian.